UPDATED: 10-13-25 17:46 PDT

cfp Oregon St 1
  
Oregon St             
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 90.0649

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 831 H Idaho St 38-15 907 A San Diego St MW ( 3- 9, 86.9) 21- 0 914 H Oregon B10 (13- 0, 99.9) 14-49 921 H Purdue B10 ( 1-11, 88.9) 38-21 1005 H Colorado St MW ( 8- 4, 92.0) 39-31 1012 A Nevada MW ( 3-10, 88.7) 37-42 1019 H UNLV MW (10- 3, 95.0) 25-33 1026 A California ACC ( 6- 6, 92.7) 7-44 1109 H San Jose St MW ( 7- 5, 91.8) 13-24 1116 A Air Force MW ( 5- 7, 89.4) 0-28 1123 H Wash St P12 ( 8- 4, 92.9) 41-38 1129 A Boise State MW (12- 1, 98.2) 18-34

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   907 A San Diego St           21- 0      21     2    +      2.77
   914 H Oregon                 14-49     -35    -9           0.00
   921 H Purdue                 38-21      17     2    +      2.95
  1005 H Colorado St            39-31       8    -1    +++    6.08
  1012 A Nevada                 37-42      -5     0    --    -5.42
  1019 H UNLV                   25-33      -8    -4          -0.95
  1026 A California              7-44     -37    -4          -1.47
  1109 H San Jose St            13-24     -11    -1    --    -4.19
  1116 A Air Force               0-28     -28     0    --    -4.74
  1123 H Wash St                41-38       3    -2    ++     4.98
  1129 A Boise State            18-34     -16    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1012 A Nevada                 37-42      -5     0    --    -5.42
  1109 H San Jose St            13-24     -11    -1    --    -4.19
  1116 A Air Force               0-28     -28     0    --    -4.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1005 H Colorado St            39-31       8    -1    +++    6.08
  1123 H Wash St                41-38       3    -2    ++     4.98
   907 A San Diego St           21- 0      21     2    +      2.77
   921 H Purdue                 38-21      17     2    +      2.95

Oregon St Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Boston Col `   Boston Col `
California California California  
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Duke Duke   Duke
Florida St Oregon St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oregon St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Miami
UNC UNC   UNC
NC St NC St insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) NC St
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pittsburgh
SMU SMU SMU   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stanford Stanford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Stanford
Syracuse Syracuse Syracuse   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Va Tech   Va Tech
Wake Forest Wake Forest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wake Forest
Army Army insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Army
Charlotte Oregon St   Oregon St
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina   Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic Oregon St   Oregon St
Memphis Memphis   Memphis
Navy Navy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Navy
No Texas No Texas   No Texas
Rice Oregon St   Oregon St
So Florida Oregon St   Oregon St
Temple Oregon St   Oregon St
Tulane Tulane   Tulane
Tulsa Oregon St   Oregon St
UAB Oregon St   Oregon St
UTSA UTSA   UTSA
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St   Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Baylor insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Baylor
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Colorado Colorado tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Colorado
Houston Houston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Houston
Iowa St Iowa St   Iowa St
Kansas Kansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St Oklahoma St   Oklahoma St
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Texas Tech
UCF UCF   UCF
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia We Virginia   We Virginia
Illinois Illinois tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Illinois
Indiana Indiana tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Maryland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maryland
Michigan Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Michigan
Michigan St Michigan St tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Michigan St
Minnesota Minnesota insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Minnesota
Nebraska Nebraska tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nebraska
Northwestern Northwestern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwestern
Ohio St Ohio St tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ohio St
Oregon Oregon Oregon  
Penn St Penn St tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Penn St
Purdue Oregon St Oregon St  
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
UCLA UCLA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UCLA
USC USC   USC
Washington Washington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Washington
Wisconsin Wisconsin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Wisconsin
Florida Intl Oregon St   Oregon St
Jacksonv. St Oregon St   Oregon St
Kennesaw St Oregon St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oregon St
Liberty Oregon St   Oregon St
La Tech Oregon St   Oregon St
Middle Tenn Oregon St   Oregon St
NM St Oregon St   Oregon St
SHouston St Oregon St   Oregon St
UTEP Oregon St insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Oregon St
We Kentucky Oregon St   Oregon St
UMass Oregon St   Oregon St
Notre Dame Notre Dame tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Notre Dame
UConn UConn   UConn
Akron Oregon St   Oregon St
Ball St Oregon St   Oregon St
Bowl. Green Oregon St   Oregon St
Buffalo Oregon St   Oregon St
Cen Michigan Oregon St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Oregon St
Ea Michigan Oregon St   Oregon St
Kent State Oregon St   Oregon St
MiamiOH MiamiOH   MiamiOH
No Illinois No Illinois   No Illinois
Ohio Ohio   Ohio
Toledo Oregon St   Oregon St
We Michigan Oregon St   Oregon St
Air Force Air Force Air Force  
Boise State Boise State Boise State  
Colorado St Oregon St Oregon St  
Fresno St Fresno St insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Fresno St
Hawaii Oregon St insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Oregon St
Nevada Nevada Nevada  
New Mexico Oregon St tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Oregon St
San Diego St Oregon St Oregon St  
San Jose St San Jose St San Jose St  
UNLV UNLV UNLV  
Utah St Oregon St Oregon St   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Wyoming Oregon St insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) Oregon St
Wash St Oregon St Oregon St  
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Auburn Auburn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Auburn
Florida Florida   Florida
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Kentucky   Kentucky
LSU LSU   LSU
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Miss St Oregon St   Oregon St
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss   Ole Miss
So Carolina So Carolina   So Carolina
Tennessee Tennessee   Tennessee
Texas Texas tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M   Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St App St   App St
Arkansas State Arkansas State   Arkansas State
Coastal Car Coastal Car   Coastal Car
Georgia So Georgia So insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Georgia So
Georgia St Oregon St   Oregon St
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana Louisiana   Louisiana
Marshall Marshall   Marshall
Old Dominion Old Dominion   Old Dominion
So Miss Oregon St   Oregon St
So Alabama So Alabama   So Alabama
Texas State Texas State   Texas State
Troy Oregon St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oregon St
La-Monroe Oregon St   Oregon St

PowerWise = 41


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A San Diego St    ( 3- 9, 86.9)    21- 0      -12.97       5.29       0.91         1.10             6.82
   0 H Oregon          (13- 0, 99.9)    14-49       -0.00      18.26      -0.91         1.10            -1.00
   0 H Purdue          ( 1-11, 88.9)    38-21      -10.98       7.28      -0.91         1.10             7.02
   0 H Colorado St     ( 8- 4, 92.0)    39-31       -7.85      10.40      -0.91         1.10            10.45
   0 A Nevada          ( 3-10, 88.7)    37-42      -11.16       7.09       0.91         1.10           -11.29
   0 H UNLV            (10- 3, 95.0)    25-33       -4.88      13.38      -0.91         1.10            -6.37
   0 A California      ( 6- 6, 92.7)     7-44       -7.21      11.04       0.91         1.10            -6.94
   0 H San Jose St     ( 7- 5, 91.8)    13-24       -8.12      10.13      -0.91         1.10            -9.94
   0 A Air Force       ( 5- 7, 89.4)     0-28      -10.48       7.77       0.91         1.10           -10.54
   0 H Wash St         ( 8- 4, 92.9)    41-38       -6.95      11.30      -0.91         1.10            11.44
   0 A Boise State     (12- 1, 98.2)    18-34       -1.71      16.54       0.91         1.10            -0.89
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -11.23

winning pts = 35.7266 losing points = -46.9542

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------